Scenario-Based Optimization towards Sustainable Power Generation in Sudan

Author:

Ali Babkir1,Gamil Ahmed2ORCID

Affiliation:

1. School of Engineering Technology and Industrial Trades, College of the North Atlantic-Qatar, Al Tarafa, Jelaiah Street, Duhail North, Doha P.O. Box 24449, Qatar

2. Department of Aerospace and Mechanical Engineering, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA

Abstract

Sudan faces an electricity supply shortage despite its abundant natural resources. This paper aims to manage these resources for sustainable power generation to meet Sudan’s electricity demand. The sustainability assessment integrates quantitative analysis of power generation’s impacts on water, land, and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, in addition to the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE). Cost-effective, resource- and GHG emission-effective, and GHG-stringent scenarios are executed in this study to investigate the impact of different constraints on the sustainability of power generation in Sudan. The average LCOEAV for these three scenarios is 43.64–100.00 USD/MWh, with the lowest in the cost-effective scenario and the highest in the resource- and GHG emission-effective scenario. The LCOEAV for the stringent scenario is 32% higher than the cost-effective scenario. The two governmental and lowest-cost plans, which serve as the business-as-usual cases in this study, are optimized and comparatively evaluated. The sensitivity analysis is conducted by reducing each clean energy pathway to a minimum LCOE of 42.89 USD/MWh. Solar–photovoltaic (PV), wind, and hydroelectricity pathways are the most sensitive to the LCOE and can significantly contribute to Sudan’s total power generation if their costs are minimal. A rational scenario for power generation in Sudan is developed to improve sustainability performance and avoid the unreliability of the studied scenarios and cases. The rational average generation mix comprises 44% clean energy, 46% fossil fuels, and 10% imported electricity pathways.

Publisher

MDPI AG

Subject

Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment,Geography, Planning and Development,Building and Construction

Reference41 articles.

1. Qatar Embassy in Khartoum (2023, January 22). General Information. Available online: https://khartoum.embassy.qa/en/republic-of-sudan/info.

2. Sudan energy background; an overview;Omer;Renew. Energy,1998

3. Renewable energy resources for electricity generation in Sudan;Omer;Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev.,2007

4. Sustainable energy potential in Sudan;Saeed;SUST J. Eng. Comput. Sci.,2019

5. The World Bank (2023, January 22). From Subsidy to Sustainability: Diagnostic Review of Sudan’s Electricity Sector. Final Report June 30, 2019. Energy Sector Management Assistance Program. Available online: http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/486961588608080192/pdf/From-Subsidy-to-Sustainability-Diagnostic-Review-of-Sudan-Electricity-Sector.pdf.

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3