Study on the Spatial Structure of the Complex Network of Population Migration in the Poyang Lake Urban Agglomeration

Abstract

Population constitutes the foundational element of cities, and population migration drives the transfer of production factors among urban areas. The population migration network serves as an objective representation of intercity interactions, bearing great significance for the analysis of urban network spatial structure. This study focuses on the 10 core cities within the Poyang Lake urban agglomeration. It utilizes population migration data from Tencent’s location-based big data spanning from 2015 to 2018. Employing the point-axis theory from spatial network theory and the directed weighted network theory within the complex network, the study establishes a comprehensive set of network indices and a network model for spatial structure. It investigates the dynamics of population migration networks within the urban agglomeration and considers strategies for enhancing, regulating, or guiding urban agglomeration development to strengthen its overall vitality. The findings indicate that the urban agglomeration displays distinct characteristics of an urban hierarchical sequence and demonstrates gradual improvement in its spatial network development. While network density remains relatively stable across various threshold intervals over an extended period, network connectivity remains weak. Moreover, the urban agglomeration exhibits the lowest degree of centralization, the highest network structure entropy, and limited network connectivity. Migration along the primary power axis within the urban agglomeration remains relatively stable, while the internal network of the urban agglomeration is interconnected through a “core-non-core” network, reflecting near-geographical connection characteristics. Variations in spatial structure are observed, with the spatial network structure following two modes: “weak core city + edge city” and “node city + outer network city”. The trend in network connections diversifies, resulting in both “core-edge” connections and cross-regional connections. In conclusion, the network characteristics of the urban agglomeration surrounding Poyang Lake are consolidated to aid in formulating an optimization plan for the urban agglomeration’s spatial structure. Additionally, these findings serve as a reference for studying the evolution of spatial structures in the other two urban agglomerations within the city agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River.