Monitoring the Distribution and Variations of City Size Based on Night-Time Light Remote Sensing: A Case Study in the Yangtze River Delta of China

Abstract

Effectively monitoring the size of a city in real time enables the scientific planning of urban development. Models that utilize the distribution and variations in city size generally use population data as inputs, which cannot be obtained in a timely and rapid manner. However, night-time light (NTL) remote sensing may be an alternative method. A case study was carried out on the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) in China, and the rank–size rule, the law of primate cities, and the Gini coefficient were employed to monitor the variation in city size in the study area. The urban areas extracted based on NTL remote sensing were utilized instead of the traditionally used population data to evaluate the variations in city size from 2012 to 2017. Considering the empiricism and subjectivity of the thresholding method, urban areas were extracted from NTL data combined with the normalized differential vegetation index and land-surface temperature data based on the artificial neural network algorithm. Based on the results, the YRD did not fit the distribution of the primate cities from 2012 to 2017. However, this region satisfied the rank–size rule well, which indicated that the development of medium–small cities was more prominent than that of larger cities, and the dispersed force was larger than the concentrated force. Notably, the city size reached a relatively balanced level in the study area. Further, sensitivity analysis revealed that the relatively low extraction accuracy of urban areas of few small cities had little effect on the results of city size variations. Moreover, the validation of city size computed from statistical population data and its comparison with results calculated based on the statistical data of urban areas aligned with the results of this study, which indicates the rationality and applicability of monitoring the variations in city size using the urban areas extracted from NTL remote sensing instead of population data.