Combining Phenological Camera Photos and MODIS Reflectance Data to Predict GPP Daily Dynamics for Alpine Meadows on the Tibetan Plateau

Abstract

Gross primary production (GPP) is the overall photosynthetic fixation of carbon per unit space and time. Due to uncertainties resulting from clouds, snow, aerosol, and topography, it is a challenging task to accurately estimate daily GPP. Daily digital photos from a phenological camera record vegetation daily greenness dynamics with little cloud or aerosol disturbance. It can be fused with satellite remote sensing data to improve daily GPP prediction accuracy. In this study, we combine the two types of datasets to improve the estimation accuracy of GPP for alpine meadow on the Tibetan Plateau. To examine the performance of different methods and vegetation indices (VIs), three experiments were designed. First, GPP was estimated with the light use efficiency (LUE) model with the green chromatic coordinate (GCC) from the phenological camera and vegetation index from MODIS, respectively. Second, GPP was estimated with the Backpropagation neural network machine learning algorithm (BNNA) method with GCC from the phenological camera and vegetation index from MODIS, respectively. Finally, GPP was estimated with the BNNA method using GCC and vegetation index as inputs at the same time. Compared with eddy covariance GPP, GPP predicted by the BNNA method with GCC and vegetation indices as inputs at the same time showed the highest accuracy of all the experiments. The results indicated that GCC had a higher accuracy than NDVI and EVI when only one vegetation index data was used in the LUE model or the BNNA method. The R2 of GPP estimated by BNNA and GPP from eddy covariance increased by 0.12 on average, RMSE decreased by 1.13 g C·m−2·day−1 on average, and MAD decreased by 0.87 g C·m−2·day−1 on average compared with GPP estimated by the traditional LUE model and GPP from eddy covariance. This study puts forth a new way to improve the estimation accuracy of GPP on the Tibetan Plateau. With the emergence of a large number of phenological cameras, this method has great potential for use on the Tibetan Plateau, which is heavily affected by clouds and snow.