Fuzzy Assessment of Ecological Security on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau Based on Pressure–State–Response Framework

Abstract

Climate change and human activities have caused a wide range of ecological risks in the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP) over the past two decades, such as land degradation and biodiversity loss. Therefore, it is imperative to assess the ecological security and drivers for its sustainable development. However, there still lacks a spatial understanding of ecological security in the QTP, as well as the geographic driving forces. In this study, a pressure–state–response (PSR) framework and the coupled fuzzy and obstacle degree models were used to evaluate the spatial pattern and factors that modulate ecological security of the QTP. The southeast of the plateau exhibited high pressure and state levels, indicating that population and economic development activities were concentrated in these regions owing to the good natural conditions. The ecological security evaluation value of the QTP is moderately low, with a median value of 47.4 (the full mark is 100). Seven regions with low ecological security were identified where targeted planning and governance measures should be implemented based on the local natural and economic conditions. Population density, net primary productivity index (NPP) of vegetation, and GDP per unit area were the main factors that modulated ecological security in the QTP, with obstacles accounting for 17.52%, 13.20%, and 12.97%, respectively. These results improve our understanding of the major vulnerable areas and main driving forces of ecological security, providing key information for optimization of ecological security pattern in the QTP.