Prediction of Tunnel Earthquake Damage Based on a Combination Weighting Analysis Method

Abstract

To reduce or evaluate the damage of tunnels in seismically active areas when earthquakes happen, it is very important to quickly predict the tunnel damage. This study proposes an anti-entropy–fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) combination weighting method for tunnel earthquake damage prediction. The tunnel cross section is a symmetrical structure. The method uses tunnel damage data from the tunnels in a region where earthquake disasters have occurred as sample data to calculate the standard earthquake damage index. The weights of evaluation factors are determined by combining the FAHP and anti-entropy weighting. The correction coefficient of each evaluation factor is obtained by considering the degree of each evaluation factor’s influence on the average damage index. Then, the earthquake damage and the corresponding damage degree of each tunnel are obtained by weighting calculation. In this study, 55 tunnels in the Wenchuan earthquake-affected area are taken as analysis cases. In these cases, 45 cases of damage tunnels are used as sample data, and 10 random tunnels are used as training cases. The calculated results are compared with the observed results. The proposed method is confirmed simple and easy to implement, which can greatly reduce the workload of field investigation, calculation and analysis. The results is of great significance to the rapid earthquake emergency assessment and post earthquake recovery of tunnels.