Flow-Data-Based Global Spatial Autocorrelation Measurements for Evaluating Spatial Interactions

Abstract

Spatial autocorrelation analysis is essential for understanding the distribution patterns of spatial flow data. Existing methods focus mainly on the origins and destinations of flow units and the relationships between them. These methods measure the autocorrelation of gravity or the positional and directional autocorrelations of flow units that are treated as objects. However, the intrinsic complexity of actual flow data necessitates the consideration of not only gravity, positional, and directional autocorrelations but also the autocorrelations of the variables of interest. This study proposes a global spatial autocorrelation method to measure the variables of interest of flow data. This method mainly consists of three steps. First, the proximity constraints of the origin and destination of a flow unit are defined to ensure similarity of flow units in terms of direction, distance, and position. This undertaking aims to determine the neighborhood of flow units and generate their adjacent matrices. Second, a spatial autocorrelation measurement model for flow data is constructed on the basis of the adjacent matrix generated. Artificial data sets are also employed to test the validity of the model. Finally, the proposed method is applied to the flow data analysis of population migration in central and eastern China to prove the practical application value of the model. The proposed method is universal and can be generalized to the global spatial autocorrelation analysis of any type of flow data.