The Spatio-Temporal Distribution Characteristics of Carbon Dioxide Derived from the Trajectory Mapping of Ground Observation Network Data in Shanxi Province, One of China’s Largest Emission Regions

Abstract

In this study, the trajectory mapping domain-filling technology, which can provide more reliable statistical estimates of long-lived gas concentrations in a broader geographical area based on limited station data, is used to map the CO2 concentration data of six ground observation stations to the entire Shanxi Province. The technology combines a dynamical model of the atmosphere with trace gas observations, combining forward and backward trajectories to greatly expand the information on long-lived CO2 gas concentrations over a trajectory path. The mapped results show good agreement with the observation results, which reveals the generalizability of the trajectory mapping domain-filling technology. The results show that the spatio-temporal distribution characteristics of CO2 concentration in the entire Shanxi region is significant: during the five years, the provincial average CO2 concentration exhibits an overall increasing trend. The CO2 concentration increases from the north to the south across the province. Influenced by the economic growth rate and COVID-19, there are differences in the annual variation characteristics of the CO2 concentration across the entire province, with the highest year-on-year growth in 2019 and a year-on-year decrease in 2020. The increasing rate of the CO2 concentration in the northern low-value areas is faster than that in the southern high-value areas. Overall, there is a decreasing trend in the CO2 concentration growth from the north to the south in the entire province. There are seasonal differences in the CO2 concentration distribution across the entire province. The CO2 concentration and amplitude are higher in autumn and winter than they are in spring and summer. This study can provide scientific support and methodological reference for the spatio-temporal distribution characteristics analysis of GHGs at the provincial–regional scale, as well as at the national and global scales.