The Prognostic Effect of CDKN2A/2B Gene Deletions in Pediatric Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia (ALL): Independent Prognostic Significance in BFM-Based Protocols

Abstract

One of the most frequent genes affected in pediatric ALL is the CDKN2A/2B gene, acting as a secondary cooperating event and playing an important role in cell-cycle regulation and chemosensitivity. Despite its inclusion in combined CNA (copy-number alterations) classifiers, like the IKZF1plus entity and the UKALL CNA profile, the prognostic impact of the individual gene deletions outside the context of a combined CNA evaluation remains controversial. Addressing the CDKN2A/2B deletions’ additive prognostic effect in current risk-stratification algorithms, we present a retrospective study of a Greek pediatric ALL cohort comprising 247 patients studied over a 24-year period (2000–2023). Herein, we provide insight regarding the correlation with disease features, MRD clearance, and independent prognostic significance for this ALL cohort treated with contemporary BFM-based treatment protocols. Within an extended follow-up time of 135 months, the presence of the CDKN2A/2B deletions (biallelic or monoallelic) was associated with inferior EFS rates (65.1% compared to 91.8% for the gene non-deleted subgroup, p < 0.001), with the relapse rate accounting for 22.2% and 5.9%, respectively (p < 0.001). The presence of the biallelic deletion was associated with the worst outcomes (EFS 57.2% vs. 89.6% in the case of any other status, monoallelic or non-deleted, p < 0.001). Survival differences were demonstrated for B-ALL cases (EFS 65.3% vs. 93.6% for the non-deleted B-ALL subgroup, p < 0.001), but the prognostic effect was not statistically significant within the T-ALL cohort (EFS 64.3 vs. 69.2, p = 0.947). The presence of the CDKN2A/2B deletions clearly correlated with inferior outcomes within all protocol-defined risk groups (standard risk (SR): EFS 66.7% vs. 100%, p < 0.001, intermediate risk (IR): EFS 77.1% vs. 97.9%, p < 0.001, high risk (HR): EFS 42.1% vs. 70.5% p < 0.001 for deleted vs non-deleted cases in each patient risk group); additionally, in this study, the presence of the deletion differentiated prognosis within both MRD-positive and -negative subgroups on days 15 and 33 of induction. In multivariate analysis, the presence of the CDKN2A/2B deletions was the most important prognostic factor for relapse and overall survival, yielding a hazard ratio of 5.2 (95% confidence interval: 2.59–10.41, p < 0.001) and 5.96 (95% confidence interval: 2.97–11.95, p < 0.001), respectively, designating the alteration’s independent prognostic significance in the context of modern risk stratification. The results of our study demonstrate that the presence of the CDKN2A/2B deletions can further stratify all existing risk groups, identifying patient subgroups with different outcomes. The above biallelic deletions could be incorporated into future risk-stratification algorithms, refining MRD-based stratification. In the era of targeted therapies, future prospective controlled clinical trials will further explore the possible use of cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitors (CDKIs) in CDKN2A/2B-affected ALL pediatric subgroups.