Construction of a Diagnostic Algorithm for Diagnosis of Adult Asthma Using Machine Learning with Random Forest and XGBoost

Abstract

An evidence-based diagnostic algorithm for adult asthma is necessary for effective treatment and management. We present a diagnostic algorithm that utilizes a random forest (RF) and an optimized eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) classifier to diagnose adult asthma as an auxiliary tool. Data were gathered from the medical records of 566 adult outpatients who visited Kindai University Hospital with complaints of nonspecific respiratory symptoms. Specialists made a thorough diagnosis of asthma based on symptoms, physical indicators, and objective testing, including airway hyperresponsiveness. We used two decision-tree classifiers to identify the diagnostic algorithms: RF and XGBoost. Bayesian optimization was used to optimize the hyperparameters of RF and XGBoost. Accuracy and area under the curve (AUC) were used as evaluation metrics. The XGBoost classifier outperformed the RF classifier with an accuracy of 81% and an AUC of 85%. A combination of symptom–physical signs and lung function tests was successfully used to construct a diagnostic algorithm on importance features for diagnosing adult asthma. These results indicate that the proposed model can be reliably used to construct diagnostic algorithms with selected features from objective tests in different settings.