Prediction for Mitosis-Karyorrhexis Index Status of Pediatric Neuroblastoma via Machine Learning Based 18F-FDG PET/CT Radiomics

Abstract

Accurate differentiation of intermediate/high mitosis-karyorrhexis index (MKI) from low MKI is vital for the further management of neuroblastoma. The purpose of this research was to investigate the efficacy of 18F-FDG PET/CT–based radiomics features for the prediction of MKI status of pediatric neuroblastoma via machine learning. A total of 102 pediatric neuroblastoma patients were retrospectively enrolled and divided into training (68 patients) and validation sets (34 patients) in a 2:1 ratio. Clinical characteristics and radiomics features were extracted by XGBoost algorithm and were used to establish radiomics and clinical models for MKI status prediction. A combined model was developed, encompassing clinical characteristics and radiomics features and presented as a radiomics nomogram. The predictive performance of the models was evaluated by AUC and decision curve analysis. The radiomics model yielded AUC of 0.982 (95% CI: 0.916, 0.999) and 0.955 (95% CI: 0.823, 0.997) in the training and validation sets, respectively. The clinical model yielded AUC of 0.746 and 0.670 in the training and validation sets, respectively. The combined model demonstrated AUC of 0.988 (95% CI: 0.924, 1.000) and 0.951 (95% CI: 0.818, 0.996) in the training and validation sets, respectively. The radiomics features could non-invasively predict MKI status of pediatric neuroblastoma with high accuracy.