Combining FORGE Score and Histopathological Diagnostic Criteria of Atypical Meningioma Enables Risk Stratification of Tumor Progression

Abstract

More than 50% of atypical meningiomas regrow within 5 years after surgery. FORGE score is a newly created tool to estimate the MIB-1 index in cranial meningiomas. In this investigation, we aimed to assess the predictive value of the FORGE score in combination with major diagnostic criteria of atypical meningioma (brain invasion, mitotic count ≥ 4) regarding recurrence in atypical meningiomas. We included patients operated on primary atypical meningiomas in our center from 2011 to 2019. The study included 71 patients (58% women, median age 63 years). ROC curves revealed a superiority of FORGE score combined with histopathological diagnostic criteria of atypical meningioma (AT-FORGE) in the prediction of tumor progression compared to FORGE score only (AUC: 0.72; 95% CI: 0.54–0.91, cut-off: ≥5/<5, sensitivity: 75%, specificity: 78%). Patients with an AT-FORGE score ≥ 5 had a shorter time to tumor progression (32.8 vs. 71.4 months, p < 0.001) in the univariable analysis. Multivariable cox regression analysis revealed significant predictive value of Simpson grade > II, presence of multiple meningiomas and AT-FORGE score ≥ 5 for tumor progression. The combination of histopathological diagnostic criteria for atypical meningioma with FORGE score might facilitate an effective identification of patients with an atypical meningioma who have an increased risk of tumor progression.