Flat Inferior Vena Cava on Computed Tomography for Predicting Shock and Mortality in Trauma: A Meta-Analysis

Abstract

Hypovolemia may be underestimated due to compensatory mechanisms. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we investigated the diagnostic accuracy of a flat inferior vena cava (IVC) on computed tomography (CT) for predicting the development of shock and mortality in trauma patients. Relevant studies were obtained by searching PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases (articles up to 16 September 2022). The number of 2-by-2 contingency tables for the index test were collected. We adopted the Bayesian bivariate random-effects meta-analysis model. Twelve studies comprising a total of 1706 patients were included. The flat IVC on CT showed 0.46 pooled sensitivity (95% credible interval [CrI] 0.32–0.63), 0.87 pooled specificity (95% CrI 0.78–0.94), and 0.78 pooled AUC (95% CrI 0.58–0.93) for the development of shock. The flat IVC for mortality showed 0.48 pooled sensitivity (95% CrI 0.21–0.94), 0.70 pooled specificity (95% CrI 0.47–0.88), and 0.60 pooled AUC (95% CrI 0.26–0.89). Regarding the development of shock, flat IVC provided acceptable accuracy with high specificity. Regarding in-hospital mortality, the flat IVC showed poor accuracy. However, these results should be interpreted with caution due to the high risk of bias and substantial heterogeneity in some included studies.