Predictors and Long-Term Prognostic Significance of Acute Renal Function Change in Patients Who Underwent Surgical Aortic Valve Replacement

Abstract

There are few reports on short-term changes in renal function after surgical aortic valve replacement, and data are scarce regarding its impact on long-term outcomes. This is a retrospective study of patients who underwent isolated aortic valve replacement between 2009 and 2020 in four medical centers. Patients with end-stage renal disease were excluded. Renal function was assessed based on short-term changes. Multivariable regression models were used to identify predictors of improvement/deterioration. Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess survival trends. The study included 2402 patients, with a mean age of 69.3 years and a mean eGFR of 82.3 mL/min/1.73 m2. Short-term improvement rates were highest in stage 4 (24.4%) and stage 3 (16.8%) patients. Deterioration rates were highest in stage 1 (38.1%) and stage 2 (34.8%) patients. Deterioration in the chronic kidney disease stage was associated with a higher ten-year mortality (p < 0.001, HR 1.46); an improved stage trended toward improved survival (p = 0.14, HR 0.722). Patients with stage 3 and 4 kidney disease tended to remain stable or improve in the short term after aortic valve replacement while patients at stages 1 and 2 were at increased risk of deteriorating.