Prediction of Fetal Blood Pressure during Labour with Deep Learning Techniques

Author:

Tolladay John1,Lear Christopher A.2ORCID,Bennet Laura2,Gunn Alistair J.2ORCID,Georgieva Antoniya13ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Oxford Labour Monitoring Group, Nuffield Department of Women’s and Reproductive Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 2JD, UK

2. The Fetal Physiology and Neuroscience Group, Department of Physiology, University of Auckland, Auckland 1010, New Zealand

3. Big Data Institute, Old Road Campus, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX3 7LF, UK

Abstract

Our objective is to develop a model for the prediction of minimum fetal blood pressure (FBP) during fetal heart rate (FHR) decelerations. Experimental data from umbilical occlusions in near-term fetal sheep (2698 occlusions from 57 near-term lambs) were used to train a convolutional neural network. This model was then used to estimate FBP for decelerations extracted from the final 90 min of 53,445 human FHR signals collected using cardiotocography. Minimum sheep FBP was predicted with a mean absolute error of 6.7 mmHg (25th, 50th, 75th percentiles of 2.3, 5.2, 9.7 mmHg), mean absolute percentage errors of 17.3% (5.5%, 12.5%, 23.9%) and a coefficient of determination R2=0.36. While the model was unable to clearly predict severe compromise at birth in humans, there is positive evidence that such a model could predict human FBP with further development. The neural network is capable of predicting FBP for many of the sheep decelerations accurately but performed far from satisfactory at identifying FHR segments that correspond to the highest or lowest minimum FBP. These results indicate that with further work and a larger, more variable training dataset, the model could achieve higher accuracy.

Funder

UK National Institute for Health and Care Research

Auckland Medical Research Foundation

Health Research Council of New Zealand

Publisher

MDPI AG

Subject

Bioengineering

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