Assessing Autistic Traits in Toddlers Using a Data-Driven Approach with DSM-5 Mapping

Abstract

Autistic spectrum disorder (ASD) is a neurodevelopmental condition that characterises a range of people, from individuals who are not able to speak to others who have good verbal communications. The disorder affects the way people see, think, and behave, including their communications and social interactions. Identifying autistic traits, preferably in the early stages, is fundamental for clinicians in expediting referrals, and hence enabling patients to access to required healthcare services. This article investigates various ASD behavioral features in toddlers and proposes a data process using machine-learning techniques. The aims of this study were to identify early behavioral features that can help detect ASD in toddlers and to map these features to the neurodevelopment behavioral areas of the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM-5). To achieve these aims, the proposed data process assesses several behavioral features using feature selection techniques, then constructs a classification model based on the chosen features. The empirical results show that during the screening process of toddlers, cognitive features related to communications, social interactions, and repetitive behaviors were most relevant to ASD. For the machine-learning algorithms, the predictive accuracy of Bayesian network (Bayes Net) and logistic regression (LR) models derived from ASD behavioral data subsets were consistent pinpointing to the suitability of ML techniques in predicting ASD.