Analysis of the Composite Risk Grade for Multi Extreme Climate Events in China in Recent 60 Years

Author:

Zhang Cunjie1ORCID,Xiao Chan1,Li Shuai2,Ren Yuyu1,Zhang Siqi1,Cai Xiuhua3,Sangbu Zhujie4

Affiliation:

1. CMA National Climate Centre, Beijing 100081, China

2. China Three Gorges Corporation, Yichang 443133, China

3. Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China

4. Meteorological Bureau of Nanmulin County, Tibet Autonomous Region, Shigatse 857000, China

Abstract

Much attention has been given to the change rule of a single extreme event, and there are few reports on comprehensive characteristics of multiple extreme events in a certain region. Based on the analyzes of annual frequency of extreme high temperature, extreme low temperature, extreme drought, extreme precipitation, and extreme typhoon events in China from 1961 to 2020, a multi extreme events composite risk grade index (MXCI) was constructed and applied to the comprehensive characteristics analyzes of multiple extreme events in China. The results show that the high value areas of MXCI were mainly located in southeast China and southwest China. Over the past 60 years, the MXCI has shown a decreasing trend in western China and most of southeastern China, and an increasing trend in the middle zone from southwest China to northeast China. Through comparative analysis, MXCI can objectively reflect the comprehensive characteristics of multiple extreme climate events in a region, which is helpful to understand regional extreme climate characteristics and effectively cope with extreme climate risks.

Funder

National Key Research and Development Program of China

China Three Gorges Corporation

The National Natural Science Foundation of China

Publisher

MDPI AG

Subject

Atmospheric Science

Reference70 articles.

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2. IPCC Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation (SREX);Murry;J. Epidemiol. Community Health,2012

3. Qin, D. (2015). China National Assessment Report on Risk Management and Adaptation of Climate Extremes and Disasters, Science Press.

4. Qin, D., and Zhai, P. (2021). Evaluation of Climate and Eco-Environment over China (2021): The First Volume of Scientific Basis, Science Press.

5. Writing Committee for the Fourth National Assessment Report on Climate Change of China (2022). Fourth National Assessment Report on Climate Change of China, China Meteorological Press.

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