Affiliation:
1. CNPC Engineering Technology R&D Company Limited, National Engineering Research Center of Oil & Gas Drilling and Completion Technology, Beijing 102206, China
2. Key Laboratory for Symbol Computation and Knowledge Engineering of National Education Ministry, College of Computer Science and Technology, Jilin University, Changchun 130012, China
Abstract
Kicks can lead to well control risks during petroleum drilling, and even more serious kicks may lead to serious casualties, which is the biggest threat factor affecting the safety in the process of petroleum drilling. Therefore, how to detect kicks early and efficiently has become a focus practical problem. Traditional machine learning models require a large amount of labeled data, such kicked sample, and it is difficult to label data, which requires a lot of labor and time. To address the above issues, the deep forest is extended to a transfer learning model to improve the generalization ability. In this paper, a transfer learning model is built to detect kicks early. The source domain model adopts the deep forest model. Deep forest is an ensemble learning model with a hierarchical structure similar to deep learning. Each layer contains a variety of random forests. It is an integration of the model in depth and breadth. In the case of a small sample size (20–60 min), kick can be identified 10 min in advance. The deep forest model is established as the source domaining model, and a cascade forest is added at the last layer according to the transfer learning algorithm to form the classification model of this paper. The experimental results show that the kick prediction accuracy of the model is 80.13% by a confusion matrix. In the target domain, the proposed model performs better than other ensemble learning algorithms, and the accuracy is 5% lower than other SOTA transfer learning algorithms.
Funder
the National Key Research and Development Program of China
the National Natural Science Foundation of China
Subject
Energy (miscellaneous),Energy Engineering and Power Technology,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment,Electrical and Electronic Engineering,Control and Optimization,Engineering (miscellaneous),Building and Construction
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