On Laws of Thought—A Quantum-like Machine Learning Approach

Author:

Xin Lizhi1,Xin Kevin2,Xin Houwen3

Affiliation:

1. Independent Researcher, Hefei 230026, China

2. Independent Researcher, Chicago, IL 60607, USA

3. Department of Chemical Physics, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230052, China

Abstract

Incorporating insights from quantum theory, we propose a machine learning-based decision-making model, including a logic tree and a value tree; a genetic programming algorithm is applied to optimize both the logic tree and value tree. The logic tree and value tree together depict the entire decision-making process of a decision-maker. We applied this framework to the financial market, and a “machine economist” is developed to study a time series of the Dow Jones index. The “machine economist” will obtain a set of optimized strategies to maximize profits, and discover the efficient market hypothesis (random walk).

Publisher

MDPI AG

Subject

General Physics and Astronomy

Reference30 articles.

1. Von Neumann, J., and Morgenstern, O. (1944). Theory of Games and Economic Behavior, Princeton University Press.

2. Savage, L.J. (1954). The Foundation of Statistics, Dover Publication Inc.

3. Binmore, K. (2009). Rational Decisions, Princeton University Press.

4. Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk;Kahneman;Econemetrica,1979

5. Simon, H.A. (1983). Reason in Human Affairs, Stanford University Press.

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