A Quantitative Method for Assessing and Monetizing the Failure Risk of Prefabricated Building Structures under Seismic Effect

Abstract

As a new construction mode, the prefabricated building is the main direction of the transformation and upgrading process of the Chinese construction industry. In an earthquake area, prefabricated building damage is often reported; therefore, it is important to evaluate the failure risk of its structure under seismic effect. In this paper, combined with the vulnerability and building depreciation theory of prefabricated buildings, as well as a seismic hazard analysis of engineering sites, we propose a quantitative method for evaluating the structural failure risk of prefabricated buildings under seismic effect during their service life. In order to illustrate the proposed method, a residential prefabricated building as described in the previous study is used as a case study. The structural failure risk value and overall risk level of the case under seismic effect are calculated to verify the feasibility and effectiveness of the seismic risk evaluation method. The results demonstrate that the proposed method benefits and assists risk management in the decision making and disaster prevention and mitigation regarding prefabricated buildings.