Prediction of Key Parameters in the Design of CO2 Miscible Injection via the Application of Machine Learning Algorithms

Abstract

The accurate determination of key parameters, including the CO2-hydrocarbon solubility ratio (Rs), interfacial tension (IFT), and minimum miscibility pressure (MMP), is vital for the success of CO2-enhanced oil recovery (CO2-EOR) projects. This study presents a robust machine learning framework that leverages deep neural networks (MLP-Adam), support vector regression (SVR-RBF) and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithms to obtained accurate predictions of these critical parameters. The models are developed and validated using a comprehensive database compiled from previously published studies. Additionally, an in-depth analysis of various factors influencing the Rs, IFT, and MMP is conducted to enhance our understanding of their impacts. Compared to existing correlations and alternative machine learning models, our proposed framework not only exhibits lower calculation errors but also provides enhanced insights into the relationships among the influencing factors. The performance evaluation of the models using statistical indicators revealed impressive coefficients of determination of unseen data (0.9807 for dead oil solubility, 0.9835 for live oil solubility, 0.9931 for CO2-n-Alkane interfacial tension, and 0.9648 for minimum miscibility pressure). One notable advantage of our models is their ability to predict values while accommodating a wide range of inputs swiftly and accurately beyond the limitations of common correlations. The dataset employed in our study encompasses diverse data, spanning from heptane (C7) to eicosane (C20) in the IFT dataset, and MMP values ranging from 870 psi to 5500 psi, covering the entire application range of CO2-EOR. This innovative and robust approach presents a powerful tool for predicting crucial parameters in CO2-EOR projects, delivering superior accuracy, speed, and data diversity compared to those of the existing methods.