Sea-Level Rise in Pakistan: Recommendations for Strengthening Evidence-Based Coastal Decision-Making

Author:

Weeks Jennifer H.1ORCID,Ahmed Syeda Nadra2,Daron Joseph D.13,Harrison Benjamin J.1,Hogarth Peter45,Ibrahim Tariq6,Inam Asif7ORCID,Khan Arshi6,Khan Faisal Ahmed8ORCID,Khan Tariq Masood Ali8,Rasul Ghulam9,Rehman Nadia10,Qureshi Akhlaque A.11,Sarfaraz Sardar6

Affiliation:

1. Met Office, Exeter EX1 3PB, UK

2. National Institute of Oceanography, Karachi 75600, Pakistan

3. School of Geographical Sciences, Faculty of Science, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1TD, UK

4. University of Liverpool, Liverpool L69 3BX, UK

5. National Oceanography Centre, Liverpool L3 5DA, UK

6. Pakistan Meteorological Department, Karachi 39350, Pakistan

7. Department of Maritime Sciences, Bahria University Karachi Campus, Karachi 75260, Pakistan

8. Institute of Environmental Studies, University of Karachi, Karachi 75270, Pakistan

9. International Union for Conservation of Nature, Islamabad44000, Pakistan

10. Global Change Impact Studies Centre, Ministry of Climate Change and Environmental Coordination, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan

11. Climate Change & Coastal Development Authority, Government of Sindh, Karachi 75500, Pakistan

Abstract

Pakistan is vulnerable to a range of climate hazards, including sea-level rise. The Indus Delta region, situated in the coastal Sindh province, is particularly at risk of sea-level rise due to low-lying land and fragile ecosystems. In this article, expertise is drawn together from the newly established Pakistan Sea-Level Working Group, consisting of policy experts, scientists, and practitioners, to provide recommendations for future research, investment, and coastal risk management. An assessment of the current scientific understanding of sea-level change and coastal climate risks in Pakistan highlights an urgent need to improve the availability and access to sea-level data and other coastal measurements. In addition, reflecting on the policy environment and the enablers needed to facilitate effective responses to future sea-level change, recommendations are made to integrate coastal climate services into the National Adaptation Plan and develop a National Framework for Climate Services. Such a framework, alongside collaboration, co-production, and capacity development, could help support required improvements in coastal observations and monitoring and continuously deliver useful, usable, and accessible sea-level information for use by practitioners and decision-makers.

Funder

UK’s FCDO

Publisher

MDPI AG

Subject

Earth-Surface Processes,Waste Management and Disposal,Water Science and Technology,Oceanography

Reference102 articles.

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3. (2023, July 14). World Wide Fund for Nature, “Delta diversity”. Available online: https://wwf.panda.org/discover/knowledge_hub/where_we_work/indus_delta/.

4. MFF Pakistan (2016). A Handbook on Pakistan’s Coastal and Marine Resources, MFF Pakistan. Available online: http://www.mangrovesforthefuture.org/assets/Repository/Documents/A-Handbook-on-Pakistan-Coastal-and-Marine-Resources.pdf.

5. Khan, T.M.A., and Rabbani, M.M. (2005). Sea Level Monitoring and Study of Sea Level Variations Along Pakistan Coast: A Component of Integrated Coastal Zone Management, National Institute of Oceanography. Available online: https://gloss-sealevel.org/sites/gloss/files/publications/documents/ge9-meeting-report-pakistan.pdf.

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