Simulating the Potential Evapotranspiration of Egypt Using the RegCM4: Sensitivity to the Land Surface and Boundary Layer Parameterizations

Abstract

Assessing the daily water requirements of crops and understanding the severity of drought necessitates precise estimation of potential evapotranspiration (PET), particularly in regions with arid climates such as Egypt. In the present study, the RegCM4 regional climate model was used to investigate the sensitivity of the PET of Egypt to two land surface schemes and boundary layer parameterizations. The land surface schemes are the Biosphere Atmosphere Transfer System (BATS) and the Community Land Model version 4.5 (CLM45). The boundary layer schemes considered are the HOLTSLAG (HOLT) and University of Washington (UW). To accomplish this task, four 32-year simulations were conducted spanning from 1979 to 2010, with the first two years considered as spin up. The ERA-Interim reanalysis was used to downscale the RegCM4 model. The simulated PET was evaluated with respect to the high-resolution ERA5-land PET-based product (hPET). The results showed that the BATS showed a bias of −0.8 to −1.8 mm day−1, while the CLM45 showed a bias of −0.8 to −3 mm day−1. Also, fine-tuning the coefficient of the daily mean air temperature succeeded in reducing the PET bias. Additionally, the UW had a lower PET bias than that noted in HOLT. To further reduce the PET bias, the linear-scaling (LS) bias-correction method was used. The LS showed its potential skills in reducing the mean bias of the PET from −2.2 to +0.4 mm day−1 in the evaluation period and to ±0.2 mm day−1 in the validation period. Furthermore, the added value of the LS was confirmed concerning the climatological annual cycle in different locations representing different climate zones of Egypt. In conclusion, accurate estimation of the PET can be ensured using the BATS, the UW schemes, and the LS technique in the present climate or under different warming scenarios.