Assessment of the Relationship between Land Use and Flood Risk Based on a Coupled Hydrological–Hydraulic Model: A Case Study of Zhaojue River Basin in Southwestern China

Abstract

As an ecological consequence of intensified anthropogenic activities, more frequent extreme rainfalls have resulted in significant increases in water levels and discharge in southwestern China. This phenomenon presents a significant challenge in flood risk and ecological management. Land use is one of the major factors significantly affecting the flooding process, and it is inextricably tied to the ecological risk of floods. Hence, flood risk estimates based on land use are essential for flood control and land use planning. In this study, a coupled hydrologic–hydraulic model was developed to analyze the relationship between flood ecological risk and land use in order to provide new insights into current flood risk management practices. Ten real flood events (of different magnitudes) in the Zhaojue river basin (650 km2) were chosen to evaluate the credibility and performance of the coupled model’s application. Promising results were obtained, with sufficient reliability for flood risk assessment purposes. The results of our flood risk analysis also indicated that the model effectively reproduced overland flow and competently accounted for flood evolution. This work is significant in the understanding of the mechanism of the flood process and its relationship with land use, and it can be used in decision support for the prevention and mitigation of flood disasters and for land use planning.