Landscape Ecological Risk Evaluation Study under Multi-Scale Grids—A Case Study of Bailong River Basin in Gansu Province, China

Abstract

To solve grid-scale problems and evaluation indicator selection in landscape ecological risk index (LERI) evaluation, this paper takes the Bailong River Basin in Gansu Province (BLRB) as an example. The LERI evaluation formulae and optimal grid scales were determined by screening landscape indices and area changes in the LERI at different grid scales. The evaluation indices were finally obtained according to the landscape characteristics and the correlation analysis of the landscape index value. Through the statistical analysis of the area of the LERI at the grid scale of 1–6 km, the optimal grid scale was determined to be 5 km. There was little change in land use patterns, with the most significant increases in artificial surfaces at 3.29% and 3.58%, respectively. Cultivated land was the only land use type to decrease by 184.3 km2. The LERI drops with the reduced cultivated land area; the landscape ecological medium risk area and cultivated land keep the same spatial distribution. Due to the limitation of the topography, cultivated land is generally distributed below 2500 m altitude, so 2500 m becomes the turning point in the spatial distribution of the LERI. The medium risk below 2500 m dominates the LERI type. Reduced cultivated land was the leading cause of reduced ecological risk according to an overlay analysis. The study of LERI evaluations provides a theoretical basis for sustainable and ecological environmental protection in the BLRB.