Research on Safety Performance Evaluation and Improvement Path of Prefabricated Building Construction Based on DEMATEL and NK

Abstract

To address the common issues of lacking indicator system identification, causal relationship quantification, and path simulation analysis in the current research on safety performance in prefabricated construction, a method for improving safety performance in prefabricated construction based on the decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL) and NK model is proposed. Firstly, through theoretical analysis and literature review, the indicator system for safety performance in prefabricated construction is identified using the grounded theory. Secondly, expert research and quantitative analysis are combined to analyze the causal relationship of the indicators using the DEMATEL method. Then, the DEMATEL method is integrated with the NK model to carry out a key indicator adaptability modeling analysis and three-dimensional simulation. Finally, a case study is conducted to validate the usability and effectiveness of the proposed model and method. The results show that X6 (construction and implementation of safety management system) had the highest impact on the other indicators, and X14 (quality and safety status of prefabricated components) was most influenced by other indicators. X6 (construction and implementation of safety management system), X1 (personnel safety awareness and attitude), X14 (quality and safety status of prefabricated components), and X12 (construction site working environment) were identified as key performance indicators. “X6 (construction and implementation of safety management system) → X1 (personnel safety awareness and attitude) → X14 (quality and safety status of prefabricated components) → X12 (construction site working environment)” was considered the optimal path to improve construction safety performance.