Clinical Factors Associated with Long-Term Survival in Metastatic Melanoma Treated with Anti-PD1 Alone or in Combination with Ipilimumab

Author:

Goutam SiddharthaORCID,Stukalin Igor,Ewanchuk Benjamin,Sander Michael,Ding Philip Q.,Meyers Daniel E.ORCID,Heng Daniel,Cheung Winson Y.,Cheng TinaORCID

Abstract

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) for treatment of metastatic melanoma (MM) offer lasting overall survival (OS) benefit in a subset of patients. However, outcomes remain poor for non-responders. Clinical predictors of long-term survival remain elusive. We utilized the Alberta Immunotherapy Database to investigate the association of host and disease characteristics, and treatment factors with overall survival (OS) greater than 3 years. We identified patients treated between August 2013 and May 2020 with single-agent anti-PD1 or combination (anti-PD1 and anti-CTLA4) ICI regimens. A logistic regression model was used to assess for independent association between clinical factors captured and survival greater than 3 years. Statistically significant factors on univariable analysis were assessed using multivariable analysis. In total, 284 of 460 patients were identified to have short-term (<1 year) or long-term (>3 years) survival with 186 surviving <1 year and 98 surviving >3 years. The median age was 64 and 18.4% of patients were ECOG ≥ 2. On logistic regression, Breslow’s Depth ≤ 4 mm, normal serum LDH, normal serum albumin and M-stage 1a/b were associated with OS > 3 years on univariable and multivariable analysis. ECOG < 2, dNLR ≤ 3, normal hemoglobin were only associated with survival on the univariable analysis but not in the multivariable analysis. The objective response rate in long-term survivors was 83.7% compared to 7.5% in the short-term survivors. Our study identifies four easily accessible predictors of long-term survival in a large real-world MM cohort treated with ICI.

Publisher

MDPI AG

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