Prognostic Significance of Tumor Growth Rate (TGR) in Patients with Huge Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization

Abstract

The prognostic value of the tumor growth rate (TGR) in huge hepatocellular carcinoma (HHCC) patients treated with transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) as an initial treatment remains unclear. This two-center retrospective study was conducted in 97 patients suffering from HHCC. Demographic characteristics, oncology characteristics, and some serological markers were collected for analysis. The TGR was significantly linear and associated with the risk of death when applied to restricted cubic splines. The optimal cut-off value of TGR was −8.6%/month, and patients were divided into two groups according to TGR. Kaplan–Meier analysis showed that the high-TGR group had a poorer prognosis. TGR (hazard ratio (HR), 2.06; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.23–3.43; p = 0.006), presence of portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT) (HR, 1.93; 95% CI, 1.13–3.27; p = 0.016), and subsequent combination therapy (HR, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.35–0.99; p = 0.047) were independent predictors of OS in the multivariate analysis. The model with TGR was superior to the model without TGR in the DCA analysis. Patients who underwent subsequent combination therapy showed a longer survival in the high-TGR group. This study demonstrated that higher TGR was associated with a worse prognosis in patients with HHCC. These findings will distinguish patients who demand more personalized combination therapy and rigorous surveillance.