Fuzzy Model for Determining the Risk Premium to the Rental Rate When Renting Technological Equipment

Abstract

The article is devoted to the method of determining the risk surcharge in rental rates for special technological equipment. The relevance and features of the task, as well as existing approaches to solve it in other subject areas, are described. The risk of landlords is highlighted as “the inability to fully ensure the receipt of a stable income recorded in the lease agreement”. The three most significant risk-forming factors are highlighted: the early return of equipment, the emergence of debt on payments from the tenant, and the breakdown of equipment due to the fault of the tenant. A fuzzy model for estimating the likelihood of the manifestation of risk-forming factors is proposed depending on the following challenges of the rental pillar: the size of the enterprise, financial stability, the age of the enterprise, the number of current trials, and the reputation of the enterprise. Describes: universal linguistics for input and output values characterizing risky components, logical output rules, and the assessment of the likelihood of risk in general. Based on the SciKit-Fuzzy library for the Python language, the model studies all available values of input variables, and tenants are presented separately on the boundary values of the enterprise parameters. A methodology for determining the rental rate, taking into account the risk surcharge, is proposed.