Identification of Extreme Droughts Based on a Coupled Hydrometeorology Index from GRACE-Derived TWSA and Precipitation in the Yellow River and Yangtze River Basins

Abstract

Global climate change and human activities have exacerbated droughts’ environmental and socioeconomic threats. However, there is still a lack of effective techniques to consider their combined impacts on drought identification. Therefore, a new copula-based multivariate standardized drought index (CMSDI) was proposed, which integrates precipitation data and terrestrial water storage anomaly (TWSA) data observed by Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites. The applicability of the CMSDI was assessed compared with the water storage deficits index (WSDI), the self-calibration Palmer drought severity index (sc-PDSI), the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI), and the standardized precipitation index (SPI) in the Yellow River Basin (YRB) and the Yangtze River Basin (YZRB) for 2002–2020. The assessments were conducted regarding both temporal evolution and spatial distribution. The results showed that the CMSDI was more synchronized with the WSDI and SPI than with the other two indices and presented different trends and correlations in the YRB and YZRB. The CMSDI outperformed the other drought indices due to the limitations of the sc-PDSI, SPEI, and SPI in detecting certain drought events, and the greater inaccuracy of the WSDI in identifying extreme droughts. Furthermore, the CMSDI revealed a clear upward trend in parts of the middle and lower YRB and a clear downward trend in the upper YZRB, emphasizing the need for more attention to droughts in the YRB. This study presents a new perspective on the integrated use of satellite and measured data in drought monitoring across different regions.