Network Modeling for Post-Entry Management of Invasive Pest Species in the Philippines: The Case of the Colorado Potato Beetle, Leptinotarsa decemlineata (Say, 1824) (Coleoptera: Chrysomelidae)

Author:

Almarinez Billy Joel M.1ORCID,Amalin Divina M.1,Aviso Kathleen B.2,Cabezas Heriberto3ORCID,Lao Angelyn R.4ORCID,Tan Raymond R.2ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Department of Biology, De La Salle University, Manila 0922, Philippines

2. Department of Chemical Engineering, De La Salle University, Manila 0922, Philippines

3. Research Institute of Applied Earth Sciences, University of Miskolc, 3515 Miskolc, Hungary

4. Department of Mathematics and Statistics, De La Salle University, Manila 0922, Philippines

Abstract

Crop shifting is considered as an important strategy to secure future food supply in the face of climate change. However, use of this adaptation strategy needs to consider the risk posed by changes in the geographic range of pests that feed on selected crops. Failure to account for this threat can lead to disastrous results. Models can be used to give insights on how best to manage these risks. In this paper, the socioecological process graph technique is used to develop a network model of interactions among crops, invasive pests, and biological control agents. The model is applied to a prospective analysis of the potential entry of the Colorado potato beetle into the Philippines just as efforts are being made to scale up potato cultivation as a food security measure. The modeling scenarios indicate the existence of alternative viable pest control strategies based on the use of biological control agents. Insights drawn from the model can be used as the basis to ecologically engineer agricultural systems that are resistant to pests.

Publisher

MDPI AG

Subject

Insect Science

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