Intelligent Prediction of Minimum Miscibility Pressure (MMP) During CO2 Flooding Using Artificial Intelligence Techniques

Abstract

Carbon dioxide (CO2) injection is one of the most effective methods for improving hydrocarbon recovery. The minimum miscibility pressure (MMP) has a great effect on the performance of CO2 flooding. Several methods are used to determine the MMP, including slim tube tests, analytical models and empirical correlations. However, the experimental measurements are costly and time-consuming, and the mathematical models might lead to significant estimation errors. This paper presents a new approach for determining the MMP during CO2 flooding using artificial intelligent (AI) methods. In this work, reliable models are developed for calculating the minimum miscibility pressure of carbon dioxide (CO2-MMP). Actual field data were collected; 105 case studies of CO2 flooding in anisotropic and heterogeneous reservoirs were used to build and evaluate the developed models. The CO2-MMP is determined based on the hydrocarbon compositions, reservoir conditions and the volume of injected CO2. An artificial neural network, radial basis function, generalized neural network and fuzzy logic system were used to predict the CO2-MMP. The models’ reliability was compared with common determination methods; the developed models outperform the current CO2-MMP methods. The presented models showed a very acceptable performance: the absolute error was 6.6% and the correlation coefficient was 0.98. The developed models can minimize the time and cost of determining the CO2-MMP. Ultimately, this work will improve the design of CO2 flooding operations by providing a reliable value for the CO2-MMP.