Hydrological Variability in the El Cielo Biosphere Reserve, Mexico: A Watershed-Scale Analysis Using Tree-Ring Records

Author:

Villanueva-Díaz José1,Correa-Díaz Arian2ORCID,Gutiérrez-García Jesús Valentín2,Astudillo-Sánchez Claudia C.3ORCID,Martínez-Sifuentes Aldo R.1

Affiliation:

1. Centro Nacional de Investigación Disciplinaria en Relación Agua, Suelo, Planta, Atmósfera CENID-RASPA, INIFAP, Gómez Palacio 35140, Durango, Mexico

2. Centro Nacional de Investigación Disciplinaria en Conservación y Mejoramiento de Ecosistemas Forestales CENID-COMEF, INIFAP, Ciudad de México 04010, Ciudad de México, Mexico

3. Facultad de Ingeniería y Ciencias, Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas, Ciudad Victoria 87149, Tamaulipas, Mexico

Abstract

The El Cielo Biosphere Reserve (CBR) stands as a vital forested region in eastern Mexico due to its high biodiversity in flora and fauna and provision of environmental services. This study established a network of 10 ring-width chronologies of different species within the CBR and adjacent watersheds. The objective was to analyze their climatic response and reconstruct the seasonal streamflow contribution of each sub-basin to the main stream, utilizing data from a gauge network of eight hydrological stations located at strategic locations of the CBR. With chronologies ranging from 116 to 564 years, most exhibited association with the accumulated streamflow between January and June. Based on the adjusted R2, Akaike Information Criteria, and Variance Inflation Factor, the stepwise regression procedure was selected among different statistical methods for developing the reconstruction model. In spite of differences in the seasonal reconstructed periods, all the species showed potential to develop hydrological reconstructions as indicated by their common response to streamflow variability, as occurred in the wet years of 1976, 1993, 2000, and 2008, and dry years of 1980, 1982, 1996, and 2011. It was found that the response of the chronologies to gauge records increased as a function of the chronologies’ interseries correlation, average mean sensitivity, and distance of the tree-ring series to the gauge station. Streamflow reconstructions at the sub-basin level allowed a better understanding of the hydroclimatic variability characterizing the CBR, but also suggested the need to increase the network of chronologies for some particular sub-basins lacking tree-ring series to improve the reconstructed models.

Funder

Mexican Fund Agency of Science and Technology

Publisher

MDPI AG

Reference47 articles.

1. Vose, J.M., Martin, K.L., and Luce, C.H. (2024, March 16). Forests, Water, and Climate Change. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Climate Change Resource Center, Available online: https://www.climatehubs.usda.gov/sites/default/files/Forests-Water-Climate%20Change_CCRC.pdf.

2. Global Consequences of Land Use;Foley;Science,2005

3. Effect of deforestation on watershed water balance: Hydrological modelling-based approach;Maretta;Cent. Eur. For. J.,2015

4. Effect of climate change on watershed system: A regional analysis;Marshall;Clim. Change,2008

5. Forests and water yield: A synthesis of disturbance effects on streamflow and snowpack in western coniferous forests;Goeking;J. For.,2020

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3