Systematic Mapping of Climate Change Impacts on Human Security in Bangladesh

Author:

Sultana Ferdous1ORCID,Petzold Jan2ORCID,John Sonali1ORCID,Muehlberger Verena1ORCID,Scheffran Jürgen1ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Research Group Climate Change and Security, Institute of Geography, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability, University of Hamburg, 20146 Hamburg, Germany

2. Department of Geography, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, 80333 München, Germany

Abstract

There is an increasing consensus that climate change undermines human security by exacerbating existing challenges, acting as a “threat multiplier”. Bangladesh is a climate hot spot due to its geographical location, dense population and vulnerable socio-economic infrastructure. Although there is an increasing number of studies on the impacts of climate change in Bangladesh, aggregated research that combines this evidence and provides a comprehensive overview is lacking. The aim of this research is to thoroughly investigate the characteristics of the academic literature on the complex pathways through which climate variability affects different components of human security in Bangladesh, allowing for determination of the trends and research gaps, as well as whether they lead to conflict or cooperation. We used a systematic mapping methodology to search and screen 1839 publications in Web of Science, including 320 publications for the final synthesis. We found a predominant research focus on rural areas, especially in the southwestern region, with declining crop yield, economic loss, migration, water shortage, food scarcity and health hazards being the highlighted impacts of climate change for Bangladesh. The impacts on food, economic, environmental, health and water security have been well studied, but we found significant research gaps in some human security components, especially energy security. Women and the economically disadvantaged are disproportionately affected, and the causal pathways between conflict or cooperation and the ever-changing climate lack research efforts, implying a dire need to focus on under-researched areas before they become more complex and difficult to address. Policies and interventions should prioritise climate-resilient agricultural practices and infrastructure in high-risk areas, building local capacities and integrating climate risk assessments into urban planning, considering the high influx of environmental migrants. This systematic map provides a foundation for future longitudinal studies, establishes a baseline for this era for future comparisons and serves as a reliable database for relevant stakeholders and policy makers.

Funder

Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft

German Federal Ministry of Education and Research

Publisher

MDPI AG

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