Assessing the Impact of GNSS ZTD Data Assimilation into the WRF Modeling System during High-Impact Rainfall Events over Greece

Abstract

The derivation of global navigation satellite systems (GNSSs) tropospheric products is nowadays a state-of-the-art technique that serves both research and operational needs in a broad range of applications in meteorology. In particular, GNSS zenith tropospheric delay (ZTD) data assimilation is widely applied in Europe to enhance numerical weather predictions (NWPs). The current study presents the first attempt at introducing assimilation of ZTDs, derived from more than 48 stations of the Hellenic GNSS network, into the operational NWP system of the National Observatory of Athens (NOA) in Greece, which is based on the mesoscale Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. WRF was applied during seven high-impact precipitation events covering the dry and wet season of 2018. The simulation employing the ZTD data assimilation reproduces more accurately, compared to the control experiment, the observed heavy rainfall (especially for high precipitation events, exceeding 20 mm in 24h) during both dry and wet periods. Assimilating ZTDs also improves the simulation of intense (>20 mm) convective precipitation during the time window of its occurrence in the dry season, and provides a beneficial influence during synoptic-scale events in the wet period. The above results, which are statistically significant, highlight an important positive impact of ZTD assimilation on the model’s precipitation forecast skill over Greece. Overall, the modelling system’s configuration, including the assimilation of ZTD observations, satisfactorily captures the spatial and temporal distribution of the observed rainfall and can therefore be used as the basis for examining further improvements in the future.