Prediction of the Soil Permeability Coefficient of Reservoirs Using a Deep Neural Network Based on a Dendrite Concept

Abstract

Changes in the pore water pressure of soil are essential factors that affect the movement of structures during and after construction in terms of stability and safety. Soil permeability represents the quantity of water transferred using pore water pressure. However, these changes cannot be easily identified and require considerable time and money. This study predicted and evaluated the soil permeability coefficient using a multiple regression (MR) model, adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), general deep neural network (DNN) model, and DNN using the dendrite concept (DNN−T, which was proposed in this study). The void ratio, unit weight, and particle size were obtained from 164 undisturbed samples collected from the embankments of reservoirs in South Korea as input variables for the aforementioned models. The data used in this study included seven input variables, and the ratios of the training data to the validation data were randomly extracted, such as 6:4, 7:3, and 8:2, and were used. The analysis results for each model showed a median correlation of r = 0.6 or less and a low model efficiency of Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) = 0.35 or less as a result of predicting MR and ANFIS. The DNN and DNN−T both have good performance, with a strong correlation of r = 0.75 or higher. Evidently, the DNN−T performance in terms of r, NSE, and root mean square error (RMSE) improved more than that of the DNN. However, the difference between the mean absolute percent error (MAPE) of DNN−T and the DNN was that the error of the DNN was small (11%). Regarding the ratio of the training data to the verification data, 7:3 and 8:2 showed better results compared to 6:4 for indicators, such as r, NSE, RMSE, and MAPE. We assumed that this phenomenon was caused by the DNN−T thinking layer. This study shows that DNN−T, which changes the structure of the DNN, is an alternative for estimating the soil permeability coefficient in the safety inspection of construction sites and is an excellent methodology that can save time and budget.