Modelling and Analysis of a Measles Epidemic Model with the Constant Proportional Caputo Operator

Author:

Farman Muhammad123ORCID,Shehzad Aamir1,Akgül Ali234ORCID,Baleanu Dumitru256ORCID,Sen Manuel De la7ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Institute of Mathematics, Khawaja Fareed University of Engineering and Information Technology, Rahim Yar Khan 64200, Pakistan

2. Department of Computer Science and Mathematics, Lebanese American University, Beirut 5053, Lebanon

3. Mathematics Research Center, Department of Mathematics, Near East University, Near East Boulevard, Nicosia, 99138 Mersin, Turkey

4. Department of Mathematics, Art and Science Faculty, Siirt University, 56100 Siirt, Turkey

5. Department of Mathematics, Cankaya University, 06790 Ankara, Turkey

6. Insitute of Space Sciences, 077125 Magurele, Romania

7. Department of Electricity and Electronics, Institute of Research and Development of Processes, Faculty of Science and Technology, University of the Basque Country, 48940 Leioa, Spain

Abstract

Despite the existence of a secure and reliable immunization, measles, also known as rubeola, continues to be a leading cause of fatalities globally, especially in underdeveloped nations. For investigation and observation of the dynamical transmission of the disease with the influence of vaccination, we proposed a novel fractional order measles model with a constant proportional (CP) Caputo operator. We analysed the proposed model’s positivity, boundedness, well-posedness, and biological viability. Reproductive and strength numbers were also verified to examine how the illness dynamically behaves in society. For local and global stability analysis, we introduced the Lyapunov function with first and second derivatives. In order to evaluate the fractional integral operator, we used different techniques to invert the PC and CPC operators. We also used our suggested model’s fractional differential equations to derive the eigenfunctions of the CPC operator. There is a detailed discussion of additional analysis on the CPC and Hilfer generalised proportional operators. Employing the Laplace with the Adomian decomposition technique, we simulated a system of fractional differential equations numerically. Finally, numerical results and simulations were derived with the proposed measles model. The intricate and vital study of systems with symmetry is one of the many applications of contemporary fractional mathematical control. A strong tool that makes it possible to create numerical answers to a given fractional differential equation methodically is symmetry analysis. It is discovered that the proposed fractional order model provides a more realistic way of understanding the dynamics of a measles epidemic.

Publisher

MDPI AG

Subject

Physics and Astronomy (miscellaneous),General Mathematics,Chemistry (miscellaneous),Computer Science (miscellaneous)

Reference41 articles.

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3. (2022, December 02). Guideline on Measles Surveillance and Outbreak Management, Available online: https://www.ephi.gov.et/images/guidelines/guideline-on-measles-surveillance-and-outbreak-management2012.pdf.

4. (2022, December 02). Measles, Preprint 2018. Measles. Available online: https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/measles.

5. Dynamical transmission of coronavirus model with analysis and simulation;Farman;Comput. Model. Eng. Sci.,2021

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