Statistics as a Social Activity: Attitudes toward Amalgamating Evidence

Author:

Gelman Andrew12ORCID,O’Rourke Keith3

Affiliation:

1. Department of Statistics Columbia University, New York, NY 10027, USA

2. Department of Political Science, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027, USA

3. O’Rourke Consulting, Ottawa, ON K1P 6K7, Canada

Abstract

Amalgamation of evidence in statistics is conducted in several ways. Within a study, multiple observations are combined by averaging, or as factors in a likelihood or prediction algorithm. In multilevel modeling or Bayesian analysis, population or prior information is combined with data using the weighted averaging derived from probability modeling. In a scientific research project, inferences from data analysis are interpreted in light of mechanistic models and substantive theories. Within a scholarly or applied research community, data and conclusions from separate laboratories are amalgamated through a series of steps, including peer review, meta-analysis, review articles, and replication studies. These issues have been discussed for many years in the philosophy of science and statistics, gaining attention in recent decades first with the renewed popularity of Bayesian inference and then with concerns about the replication crisis in science. In this article, we review the amalgamation of statistical evidence from different perspectives, connecting the foundations of statistics to the social processes of validation, criticism, and consensus building.

Funder

U.S. Office of Naval Research

Publisher

MDPI AG

Reference39 articles.

1. Intersubjective probability and confirmation theory;Gillies;Br. J. Philos. Sci.,1991

2. Gillies, D. (2000). Philosophical Theories of Probability, Routledge.

3. Cox, D.R. (2001). Some remarks on likelihood factorization. Lecture Notes—Monograph Series, Institute of Mathematical Statistics.

4. Fraser, D.F. (1976). Probability and Statistics: Theory and Applications, Duxbury Press.

5. Decoding the h-likelihood;Meng;Stat. Sci.,2009

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3