Evaluation of the Stability of Muddy Coastline Based on Satellite Imagery: A Case Study in the Central Coasts of Jiangsu, China

Abstract

Monitoring the coastline dynamic can provide the basis for the balance of sediment erosion and deposition. The evaluation of coastal stability is beneficial to decision makers for the rational development and ecological conservation of coastal resources. The present study first collected 61 scenes of remote sensing images and extracted the multi-temporal coastlines from the years 1990–2020 in Jiangsu Province, China using an improved waterline method. Given the characteristics of gentle slopes of our study area, we modified the coastlines using actual tidal level data to avoid the influence from different tidal regimes. Finally, the coastal stability analysis was conducted on the central coast of Jiangsu, which experiences frequent changes in erosion and siltation. The results showed that the coastline has changed significantly; the natural coastline decreased by 116 km, while the artificial coastline increased by 108 km. the area of tidal flats decreased by 1152 km2, and the average width of the tidal flats decreased from 8.83 km to 3.55 km. In general, the coastline advanced seawards for many years, mainly due to sediment siltation and tidal flat reclamation, with annual average rates of siltation and reclamation of 9.67 km/a and 40.75 km/a, respectively. The node of siltation and erosion migrated 1.8 km southwards, moving from the Sheyang Estuary to the Doulong Port. The coastal stability gradually decreased from north to south, by values of 88.5 km (40%) for stable coast and 63.97 km (28.9%) for extremely unstable coast. The most unstable coast came from frequent reclamation areas. The method in this study is expected to provide a reference for evaluating the stability of typical muddy coasts, and our results can provide a basis for the sustainable development, utilization, and protection of coastal areas.