Research on a Service Load Prediction Method Based on VMD-GLRT

Abstract

In this paper, a deep learning-based prediction model VMD-GLRT is proposed to address the accuracy problem of service load prediction. The VMD-GLRT model combines Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) and GRU-LSTM. At the same time, the model incorporates residual networks and self-attentive mechanisms to improve accuracy of the model. The VMD part decomposes the original time series into several intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) and a residual part. The other part uses a GRU-LSTM structure with ResNets and Self-Attention to learn the features of the IMF and the residual part. The model-building process focuses on three main aspects: Firstly, a mathematical model is constructed based on the data characteristics of the service workload. At the same time, VMD is used to decompose the input time series into multiple components to improve the efficiency of the model in extracting features from the data. Secondly, a long and short-term memory (LSTM) network unit is incorporated into the residual network, allowing the network to correct the predictions more accurately and improve the performance of the model. Finally, a self-focus mechanism is incorporated into the model, allowing the model to better capture features over long distances. This improves the dependence of the output vector on these features. To validate the performance of the model, experiences were conducted using open-source datasets. The experimental results were compared with other deep learning and statistical models, and it was found that the model proposed in this paper achieved improvements in mean absolute percentage error (MAPE).