Decomposition of China’s Carbon Emissions Responsibility from the Perspective of Technological Heterogeneity

Abstract

A global agreement has been reached on the reduction in greenhouse gas emissions. Worldwide, countries have implemented measures to tackle carbon emission issues by establishing aggregate targets and decomposing responsibilities. This study aims to decompose carbon emissions by creating an input–output model that incorporates multivariate factors like energy consumption and water consumption, together with a ZSG-DEA (zero-sum data envelopment analysis) model considering technological heterogeneity (Tech-ZSG-DEA). Based on the total carbon emission data predicted using the STIRPAT (Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence, and Technology) model, the carbon emission efficiency of 30 provinces in China is evaluated according to multiple principles. This is achieved by considering variations in population, economy, energy consumption, and water consumption across different locations. The efficiency findings indicate a discrepancy between the initial allocation and the highest efficiency value of 1. The traditional ZSG-DEA model overlooks regional disparities and may worsen carbon emission pressures in less developed areas. In contrast, the Tech-ZSG-DEA model, which considers regional technological diversity, allows more efficient regions to help alleviate some of the carbon emission burden and considers economic and social benefits. There is a large difference in the emission responsibility of the provinces based on the different decomposition principles. Finally, relevant policy recommendations are provided, such as the formulation of differentiated and inclusively coordinated emission plans. In addition, there are also mechanisms for coordinating interests and joint prevention among different regions.