Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Improved Mode Decomposition and Time Series

Abstract

Accurately predicting the remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium-ion batteries holds significant importance for their health management. Due to the capacity regeneration phenomenon and random interference during the operation of lithium-ion batteries, a single model may exhibit poor prediction accuracy and generalization performance under a single scale signal. This paper proposes a method for predicting the RUL of lithium-ion batteries. The method is based on the improved sparrow search algorithm (ISSA), which optimizes the variational mode decomposition (VMD) and long- and short-term time-series network (LSTNet). First, this study utilized the ISSA-optimized VMD method to decompose the capacity degradation sequence of lithium-ion batteries, acquiring global degradation trend components and local capacity recovery components, then the ISSA–LSTNet–Attention model and ISSA–LSTNet–Skip model were employed to predict the trend component and capacity recovery component, respectively. Finally, the prediction results of these different models were integrated to accurately estimate the RUL of lithium-ion batteries. The proposed model was tested on two public lithium-ion battery datasets; the results indicate a root mean square error (RMSE) under 2%, a mean absolute error (MAE) under 1.5%, and an absolute correlation coefficient (R2) and Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency index (NSE) both above 92.9%, implying high prediction accuracy and superior performance compared to other models. Moreover, the model significantly reduces the complexity of the series.