Evaluation of High Resolution WRF Solar

Author:

Thaker Jayesh1ORCID,Höller Robert2ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Department of Physics, Carl von Ossietzky Universität Oldenburg, 26129 Oldenburg, Germany

2. School of Engineering, University of Applied Sciences Upper Austria, Stelzhamerstrasse 23, 4600 Wels, Austria

Abstract

The amount of solar irradiation that reaches Earth’s surface is a key quantity of solar energy research and is difficult to predict, because it is directly affected by the changing constituents of the atmosphere. The numerical weather prediction (NWP) model performs computational simulations of the evolution of the entire atmosphere to forecast the future state of the atmosphere based on the current state. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is a mesoscale NWP. WRF solar is an augmented feature of WRF, which has been improved and configured specifically for solar energy applications. The aim of this paper is to evaluate the performance of the high resolution WRF solar model and compare the results with the low resolution WRF solar and Global Forecasting System (GFS) models. We investigate the performance of WRF solar for a high-resolution spatial domain of resolution 1 × 1 km and compare the results with a 3 × 3 km domain and GFS. The results show error metrices rMAE {23.14%, 24.51%, 27.75%} and rRMSE {35.69%, 36.04%, 37.32%} for high resolution WRF solar, coarse domain WRF solar and GFS, respectively. This confirms that high resolution WRF solar performs better than coarse domain and in general. WRF solar demonstrates statistically significant improvement over GFS.

Publisher

MDPI AG

Subject

Energy (miscellaneous),Energy Engineering and Power Technology,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment,Electrical and Electronic Engineering,Control and Optimization,Engineering (miscellaneous),Building and Construction

Reference34 articles.

1. Thaker, J., and Höller, R. (2022, January 26–30). Hybrid Numerical Ensemble Method and Comparative Study for Solar Irradiance Forecasting. Proceedings of the 8th World Conference on Photovoltaic Energy Conversion, Milan, Italy.

2. The Accuracy of Solar Irradiance Calculations Used in Mesoscale Numerical Weather Prediction;Zamora;Mon. Weather Rev.,2005

3. Lorenz, E., Remund, J., Müller, S.C., Traunmüller, W., Steinmaurer, G., Pozo, D., Ruiz-Arias, J.A., Lara Fanego, V., Ramirez, L., and Romeo, M.G. (2009, January 21–25). Benchmarking of Different Approaches to Forecast Solar Irradiance. Proceedings of the 24th European Photovoltaic Solar Energy Conference, Hamburg, Germany.

4. Evaluation of the WRF model solar irradiance forecasts in Andalusia (southern Spain);Sol. Energy,2012

5. Evaluation of numerical weather prediction for intra-day solar forecasting in the continental United States;Mathiesen;Sol. Energy,2011

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3