Seismic Evaluation Based on Poisson Hidden Markov Models—The Case of Central and South America-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Seismic Evaluation Based on Poisson Hidden Markov Models—The Case of Central and South America

Published:2024-07-23 Issue:3 Volume:7 Page:777-792
ISSN:2571-905X
Container-title:Stats
language:en
Short-container-title:Stats

Author:

Georgakopoulou Evangelia¹,Tsapanos Theodoros M.¹,Makrides Andreas²³^ORCID,Scordilis Emmanuel¹,Karagrigoriou Alex⁴^ORCID,Papadopoulou Alexandra⁵,Karastathis Vassilios⁶^ORCID

Affiliation:

1. School of Geology, Department of Geophysics, Geophysical Laboratory, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, 54124 Thessaloniki, Greece

2. Department of Statistics and Actuarial-Financial Mathematics, Lab of Statistics and Data Analysis, University of the Aegean, 83200 Samos, Greece

3. Department of Computer Science, University of Nicosia, Nicosia 2417, Cyprus

4. Department of Statistics and Insurance Science, University of Piraeus, 18534 Piraeus, Greece

5. Department of Mathematics, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, 54124 Thessaloniki, Greece

6. National Observatory of Athens, Institute of Geodynamics, Lofos Nymfon, Thissio, 11851 Athens, Greece

Abstract

A study of earthquake seismicity is undertaken over the areas of Central and South America, the tectonics of which are of great interest. The whole territory is divided into 10 seismic zones based on some seismotectonic characteristics, as in previously published studies. The earthquakes used in the present study are extracted from the catalogs of the International Seismological Center, cover the period of 1900–2021, and are restricted to shallow depths (≤60 km) and a magnitude M≥4.5. Fore- and aftershocks are removed according to Reasenberg’s technique. The paper confines itself to the evaluation of earthquake occurrence probabilities in the seismic zones covering parts of Central and South America, and we implement the hidden Markov model (HMM) and apply the EM algorithm.

Publisher

MDPI AG

Link

https://www.mdpi.com/2571-905X/7/3/47/pdf

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