Machine Learning: Volume and Biomass Estimates of Commercial Trees in the Amazon Forest

Abstract

Accurate estimation of the volume and above-ground biomass of exploitable trees by the practice of selective logging is essential for the elaboration of a sustainable management plan. The objective of this study is to develop machine learning models capable of estimating the volume and biomass of commercial trees in the Southwestern Amazon, based on dendrometric, climatic and topographic characteristics. The study was carried out in the municipality of Porto Acre, Acre state, Brazil. The volume and biomass of sample trees were determined using dendrometric, climatic and topographic variables. The Boruta algorithm was applied to select the best set of variables. Support Vector Machines (SVM), Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), Random Forests (RF) and the Generalized Linear Model (GLM) were the machine learning methods evaluated. In general, the evaluated methods showed a satisfactory generalization power. The results showed that the volume and biomass predictions of commercial trees in the Amazon rainforest differed between the techniques (p < 0.05). ANNs showed the best performance in predicting the volume and biomass of commercial trees, with the highest ryŷ and the lowest RSME and MAE. Thus, machine learning methods such as SVM, ANN, RF and GLM are shown to be useful and efficient tools for estimating the volume and biomass of commercial trees in the Amazon rainforest. These methods can be useful tools to improve the accuracy of estimates in forest management plans.