Coal Mine Safety Accidents, Environmental Regulation and Economic Development—An Empirical Study of PVAR Based on Ten Major Coal Provinces in China

Abstract

Based on the PVAR model and taking the data of 10 major coal provinces in China from 2011 to 2020 as an example, the dynamic relationship between coal mine accidents, environmental regulation and economic development is analyzed at the provincial level. Research findings include: (1) From the static relationship between coal mine accidents, environmental regulation and economic development in China’s ten major coal provinces, coal mine accidents promote environmental regulation; environmental regulation inhibits coal mine accidents; economic development strongly promotes environmental regulation; environmental regulation has a weak inhibitory effect on economic development; coal mine accidents slightly inhibit economic development; economic development strongly inhibits coal mine accidents. (2) From the dynamic relationship between coal mine accidents, environmental regulation and economic development in China’s ten major coal provinces, there is a strong dynamic response relationship between environmental regulation and coal mine accidents. The impact of environmental regulation on coal mine accidents shows a decreasing volatility trend, and the impact of coal mine accidents on environmental regulation shows a rising volatility trend. There is a short-term positive interaction between economic development and environmental regulation, but the interaction response relationship between them decreases with time. Economic development has a long-term inhibitory effect on coal mine accidents, while the negative impact of coal mine accidents on economic development has gradually decreased to 0.