Path Optimization of Low-Carbon Container Multimodal Transport under Uncertain Conditions

Abstract

The development of multimodal transport has had a significant impact on China’s transportation industry. Due to the variability of the market environment, in this study, based on the context of the official launch of the national carbon emission trading market, the uncertainty of the demand and the randomness of carbon trading prices were considered. Taking minimum total transportation cost as the objective function, a robust stochastic optimization model of container multimodal transport was constructed, and a hybrid fireworks algorithm with gravitational search operator (FAGSO) was designed to solve and verify the effectiveness of the algorithm. Using a 35-node multimodal transportation network as an example, the multimodal transportation costs and schemes under three different modes were compared and analyzed, and the influence of parameter uncertainty was determined. The results show that the randomness of carbon trading prices will lead to an increase or decrease in the total transport cost, while robust optimization with uncertain demand will be affected by the regret value constraint, resulting in an increase in the total transport cost. Multimodal carriers can reduce transportation costs, reduce carbon emissions, and improve the transportation efficiency of multimodal transportation by comprehensively weighing the randomness of carbon trading prices, the nondeterminism of demand, and the relationship between the selection of maximum regret values and transportation costs.