Endogenous Performance of Rail Sections in Brazil: A Novel Two-Dimensional Fuzzy-Monte Carlo Approach

Author:

Wanke Peter Fernandes1ORCID,Pimenta Roberto2,Antunes Jorge1ORCID,Tan Yong3ORCID,Hadi-Vencheh Abdollah4ORCID

Affiliation:

1. COPPEAD Graduate Business School, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Rua Paschoal, Lemme, 355, Rio de Janeiro 21949-900, Brazil

2. Getulio Vargas Foundation, EBAPE—Brazilian School of Public and Business Administration, Rio de Janeiro 22250-900, Brazil

3. School of Management, University of Bradford, Bradford BD7 1DP, UK

4. Department of Mathematics, Isfahan (Khorasgan) Branch, Islamic Azad University, Isfahan 81595-158, Iran

Abstract

This paper investigates the endogenous source of railway performance in Brazil by focusing on several rail sections. A novel Two-Dimensional Fuzzy-Monte Carlo Analysis (2DFMC) approach is proposed including a multi-attribute decision-making (MADM) model based on type-2 fuzzy sets (T2FS) and a Stochastic Structural Relationship Programming (SSRP) Model based on neural networks. Results suggest that the level of inclination of the rail operators to use the bottlenecked rail sections influences the measurement of idleness, in a chained effect. It is suggested that the balance and coordination among bottleneck, minimum curve radius, and installed capacity are prerequisites to improve railway performance.

Publisher

MDPI AG

Subject

Fluid Flow and Transfer Processes,Computer Science Applications,Process Chemistry and Technology,General Engineering,Instrumentation,General Materials Science

Reference49 articles.

1. Cooper, M. (2008). Brazilian Railway Culture. [Unpublished Doctoral’s Dissertation, University of York].

2. Efficiency of the rail sections in Brazilian railway system, using TOPSIS and a genetic algorithm to analyse optimized scenarios;Marchetti;Transp. Res. Part E Logist. Transp. Rev.,2020

3. (2022, January 20). ANTT-National Land Transport Agency: Railway Sector Yearbook, Available online: https://portal.antt.gov.br/anuario-do-setor-ferroviario.

4. EPL (2022, January 20). Interregional Cargo Transport in Brazil—Panorama 2015, Available online: https://www.epl.gov.br/transporte-inter-regional-de-carga-no-brasil-panorama-2015.

5. The economic regulation of railway networks: A worldwide survey;Laurino;Transp. Res. Part A Policy Pract.,2015

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