Serum IGFBP-1 Concentration as a Predictor of Outcome after Ischemic Stroke—A Prospective Observational Study

Abstract

Insulin-like growth factor-binding protein-1 (IGFBP-1) regulates insulin-like growth factor-I (IGF-I) bioactivity, and is a central player in normal growth, metabolism, and stroke recovery. However, the role of serum IGFBP-1 (s-IGFBP-1) after ischemic stroke is unclear. We determined whether s-IGFBP-1 is predictive of poststroke outcome. The study population comprised patients (n = 470) and controls (n = 471) from the Sahlgrenska Academy Study on Ischemic Stroke (SAHLSIS). Functional outcome was evaluated after 3 months, 2, and 7 years using the modified Rankin Scale (mRS). Survival was followed for a minimum of 7 years or until death. S-IGFBP-1 was increased after 3 months (p < 0.01), but not in the acute phase after stroke, compared with the controls. Higher acute s-IGFBP-1 was associated with poor functional outcome (mRS score > 2) after 7 years [fully adjusted odds ratio (OR) per log increase 2.9, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.4-5.9]. Moreover, higher s-IGFBP-1 after 3 months was associated with a risk of poor functional outcome after 2 and 7 years (fully adjusted: OR 3.4, 95% CI: 1.4–8.5 and OR 5.7, 95% CI: 2.5–12.8, respectively) and with increased mortality risk (fully adjusted: HR 2.0, 95% CI: 1.1–3.7). Thus, high acute s-IGFBP-1 was only associated with poor functional outcome after 7 years, whereas s-IGFBP-1 after 3 months was an independent predictor of poor long-term functional outcome and poststroke mortality.