Prediction of Dry-Low Emission Gas Turbine Operating Range from Emission Concentration Using Semi-Supervised Learning

Abstract

Dry-Low Emission (DLE) technology significantly reduces the emissions from the gas turbine process by implementing the principle of lean pre-mixed combustion. The pre-mix ensures low nitrogen oxides (NOx) and carbon monoxide (CO) production by operating at a particular range using a tight control strategy. However, sudden disturbances and improper load planning may lead to frequent tripping due to frequency deviation and combustion instability. Therefore, this paper proposed a semi-supervised technique to predict the suitable operating range as a tripping prevention strategy and a guide for efficient load planning. The prediction technique is developed by hybridizing Extreme Gradient Boosting and K-Means algorithm using actual plant data. Based on the result, the proposed model can predict the combustion temperature, nitrogen oxides, and carbon monoxide concentration with an accuracy represented by R squared value of 0.9999, 0.9309, and 0.7109, which outperforms other algorithms such as decision tree, linear regression, support vector machine, and multilayer perceptron. Further, the model can identify DLE gas turbine operation regions and determine the optimum range the turbine can safely operate while maintaining lower emission production. The typical DLE gas turbine’s operating range can operate safely is found at 744.68 °C –829.64 °C. The proposed technique can be used as a preventive maintenance strategy in many applications involving tight operating range control in mitigating tripping issues. Furthermore, the findings significantly contribute to power generation fields for better control strategies to ensure the reliable operation of DLE gas turbines.